Peace and Conflict is a biennial publication that provides key data and documents trends in national and international conflicts ranging from isolated acts of terrorism to internal civil strife to full-fledged inter-country war. A major trend it tracks is the incidence of wars beyond the protracted conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan.
For 2012, Peace & Conflict focuses on the theme of policy guidance for preventing conflict. It covers special topics with original contributions that focus on mediation, economic recovery, and the impact of elections.
Peace and Conflict is a large format reference including numerous graphs, tables, maps, and appendices dedicated to the visual presentation of data. Crisp narratives are highlighted with pull-quote extracts that summarize trends and major findings such as the continuing increase in high casualty terrorist acts and the likelihood of genocide risk in certain areas.
Birger Heldt is Director of Research at the Folke Bernadotte Academy (Sweden), where he focuses on the statistical study of peacekeeping and preventative diplomacy/peacemaking.
Praise for Peace and Conflict
"Too much of the writing on international affairs is long on opinions and short on facts. Peace and Conflict is the rare exception. Its clear presentations of evidence and analyses help to better inform discussions about the most pressing security challenges in today's world."
—Fareed Zakaria, Editor, Newsweek International
“Peace and Conflict is an essential tool for scholars and policymakers seeking the facts behind the headlines about the nature and extent of conflict around the world. It provides a systematic, empirically grounded, and highly nuanced assessment of the darker aspects of human nature and underscores, yet again, the inescapable truth of our interconnected world and intertwined fate.”
—Vartan Gregorian, President, Carnegie Corporation of New York
"Across the globe governments are now trying to make sense of, and cope with, breakdowns in global order of unprecedented complexity. Widening gaps between rich and poor; multiplying "failed states"; spreading threats from non-state actors using more deadly forms of terrorism as tools against settled societies; and storm clouds labeled "ideological and religious war" all challenge scholars and policy makers alike with many questions, and few answers. Peace and Conflict 2008 provides crucial clues about this uncertain future. Reams of critical data and analysis, together with identification of current trends and likely outcomes, point governments as well as international and non-governmental organizations toward better intervention strategies. Its excellent introduction highlights the main conclusions for the policy community. In short, Peace and Conflict 2008 is a tour d'force!"
—The Honorable Samuel Lewis, Past President, United States Institute of Peace
“…this volume is a more substantial work than the previous volumes in the series.”
—Choice (Recommended. All Levels)
Ted Robert Gurr, J. Joseph Hewitt, and Jonathan Wilkenfeld
2 The Peace and Conflict Instability Ledger: Ranking States on Future Risks
J. Joseph Hewitt
3 Trends in Global Conflict, 1946–2009
J. Joseph Hewitt
4 Trends in Democratization: Unpacking Anocracies
5 Trends in Global Terrorism, 1970–2008
Gary LaFree and Laura Dugan
6 Assessing Risks of Genocide and Politicide: A Global Watch List for 2012
Preventing Armed Violence: From Peacemaking to Conflict Recovery
From Peacemaking to Conflict Recovery: An Introduction
Birger Heldt, Guest Editor
7 Trends in Civil War Mediation
Karl DeRouen Jr. and Jacob Bercovitch
8 Civil War Peacemaking
Scott Sigmund Gartner
9 Delivering Peace: Options for Mediators in African Intrastate Crises
Pelin Eralp, David Quinn, and Jonathan Wilkenfeld
10 War and Economic Growth
11 Conflict, Elections, and International Pressure
Susan D. Hyde
Appendix—Major Armed Conflicts
Peace and Conflict Editorial Advisory Board
About the Authors
About the Contributors
About the Center for International Development and Conflict Management